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It’s a short article this week due quick turnaround between the Monday matches and another early FPL deadline on Friday following midweek Champions League matches. Following an early season surge, Aston Villa suffered a shock defeat at home last Friday at the hands of Leeds as Patrick Bamford delivered a hat trick for the visitors. Meanwhile, league leaders Everton also dropped points in the visit to St Marys as Toffees defender Lucas Digne was dismissed with a red card.

It was too good to be true: Sergio Aguero is injured again and may miss several weeks due to muscle injury, but Manchester City teammate Kevin De Bruyne is back and up to match fitness after a second-half cameo last week and a start in the Champions League match against Marseille. Recent Man United signing Alex Telles must self-isolate after testing positive for coronavirus, but teammate Edinson Cavani was cleared following quarantine as the Uruguayan international made a couple of late appearances in the past couple of matches.

GKs – Recent Chelsea signing Edouard Mendy has kept 4 consecutive clean sheets across all competitions and presents a very compelling premium goalkeeper option for a top club. Tough match this week for West Ham, but Polish international Lukasz Fabianksi prepares for a nice run as well, as does Emi Martinez for Aston Villa as the Argentinian has kept 3 clean sheets so far this season.

Defenders – Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good: Wolves defender Romain Saiss was subbed off late in the 68th minute during a scoreless deadlock against Newcastle, raising questions about his place in the starting 11, but that was long enough to secure a clean sheet before his team conceded a late goal. Still sloppy at the back, Liverpool defenders continue to pose attacking threat through Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andy Robertson. Meanwhile, Leicester seem to have tightened up at the back as Timothy Castagne delivered a clean sheet against Arsenal.

Midfielders – Mo Salah and Heung-Min Son continue to jostle every week for top position in the midfielder rankings, and both Liverpool and Tottenham host weaker opposition this week against West Ham and Brighton, respectively. Jack Grealish has blanked for the second consecutive match but continues to deliver very positive underlying data for creativity and involvement for Aston Villa, while teammate Ross Barkley has an eye for goal but is playing a bit deeper on the pitch.

Young sensation Phil Foden started on the bench for Man City but was a second-half impact sub who delivered instant gratification for Pep Guardiola with the equalizer against West Ham. Crystal Palace also continue to reap the benefits of sensational form from Wilfried Zaha who scored and supplied an assist for the Eagles in the victory over local rivals Fulham.

Forwards – Callum Wilson climbs to the top of the forward tables following an assist for the late equalizer against Wolves last week as Newcastle embark on a very favorable run of fixtures over the next couple of months. Everton sensation Dominic Calvert-Lewin was starved of service last week as his teammates failed to supply opportunities and Southampton kept a tight defence.

Harry Kane was once again the supplier with an assist for Heung-Min Son’s late winner against Burnley and has the most goal involvements of any player through the first 6 match of any Premier League season. Although starting from the bench after recovering from injury, Leicester striker Jamie Vardy was a late second-half impact sub and broke the deadlock against Arsenal for the match-winning goal.

Although Danny Ings failed to find the net against Everton, the English international supplied a pair of assists to teammates James Ward-Prowse and Che Adams in the vicotyr over Everton, and Sammy Watkins came away empty for Villa in the disappoiting loss to Leeds.

Despite a blank last week against Sheffield, it’s a pretty clear captaincy decision this week if you have Mo Salah in your FPL team. With 2 matches to go before the next international deadline, FPL managers should be thinking ahead towards saving a FT and carrying 2 when the Premier League resumes at the end of November. Infection cases continue to pop up and pose threats to players and starting lineups.

Alex “The Analyst” Potier
On behalf of The Transfer Algorithm


The Fire Martial has been overtaken at the top by Nausherwan khan Arzani’s RawSauce FC, despite a meagre 53 points. Up into third is Operation Pink Pony, for whom Leeds’ Bamford scored a hat-trick. Full standings available here.

The UPTV Transfer Guru is Mikkel Tokvam, developer of the Transfer Algorithm.

About Mikkel: Fantasy football is full of noise. Too much information slamming around about statistics like players being “big-game”, “fixture-proof”, “better away than at home” or “needs this or that player to deliver returns” (like the Kane – Dembele conspiracy a few years ago).

Motivated by this nonsense, I have let the machine load the data. Tonnes of data. And compute what matters in predicting the future by observing the past.

Since its inception in 2014, the Transfer Algorithm has produced exceptional results and helped propel FPL Managers to new heights, including some of the most talented and successful competitors around the world. With dozens of key statistics considered for each player and data sets spanning many years of historical performance, the Transfer Algorithm is set up to provide a close to perfect point-expectation for future returns, comparing one with other available players, and responding with simple value metrics for choosing the optimal players for future returns on a limited budget.

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